Determinants of COVID-19 Death Rate in Europe: Empirical Analysis

Z końcem 2019 r. nowy wirus COVID-19 rozprzestrzenił się z Chin po całym świecie (w tym po Europie). Większość krajów europejskich wiosną 2020 r. wprowadziła powszechną kwarantannę. Celem tej pracy jest opra-cowanie modelu dynamiki systemu pozwalającego określić wpływ różnych czynników na śmiertelność z powodu koronawirusa w Europie. Za pomocą analizy regresji liniowej sprawdzono trzy hipotezy dotyczące czynników zmniejszających śmiertelność COVID-19. Jak się okazuje, gęstość zaludnienia w różnych krajach europejskich nie wpływa na śmiertelność z powodu COVID-19. Ponadto śmiertelność z powodu koronawirusa nie zwiększa w znaczący sposób ogólnych statystyk śmiertelności. Natomiast poziom rozwoju gospodarczego kraju jest już czynnikiem wpływającym na śmiertelności z powodu COVID-19, ponieważ w krajach wysoko rozwiniętych śmiertelność w wyniku pandemii jest niższa, niezależnie od mechanizmów rozprzestrzeniania się choroby i jej wpływu na zdrowie ludzi.

Słowa kluczowe:

COVID-19, pandemia koronawirusa, śmiertelność, rozwój ekonomiczny, GDP, regresja

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Numer Tom 16 Nr 1 (2021)

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