Wpływ wojny w Ukrainie na bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe krajów o niskich dochodach
Olena Shevchuk
National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4117-1474
Olha Ilyash
National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7882-3942
Serhii Kozlovskyi
Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0707-4996
Nadiia Roshchyna
National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2035-8846
Svitlana Hrynkevych
National University, Lviv Polytechnic, Lviv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3563-3989
Vira Butenko
National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8814-9392
Glib Mazhara
skydoor13@gmail.comNational Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1860-756X
Abstrakt
Artykuł ukazuje celowość rewizji podstawowych przepisów kształtowania systemu bezpieczeństwa żywnościowego krajów o niskich dochodach, ponieważ światowy system żywnościowy jest w znacznym stopniu podatny na czynniki kryzysotwórcze. Istniejąca nierównowaga światowych systemów żywnościowych, wymusza w konsekwencji zmiany w modelu produkcji w krajach o niskich dochodach. W tej pracy proponuje się zbadanie wpływu wojny rosyjsko-ukraińskiej na światowe bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe, w szczególności: zarysowanie głównych etapów kształtowania się Ukrainy jako gwaranta bezpieczeństwa żywnościowego w światowym systemie żywnościowym; określenie wpływu wojny na produkcję i eksport towarów rolnych; analiza sytuacji żywnościowej w krajach rozwijających się i krajach o niskich dochodach; modelowanie wpływu inflacji na bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe w krajach rozwijających się i o niskich dochodach; tworzenie scenariuszy zapewnienia bezpieczeństwa żywnościowego Ukrainy w krótkim i długim okresie. Do analizy wpływu inflacyjnego wybrano stopę inflacji żywności, Core Consumer Price Index oraz Consumer Price Index.
Słowa kluczowe:
bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe, kraje o niskich dochodach, kraje rozwijające się, wpływ wojny na bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe świata, wpływ inflacji na bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe, kryzys żywnościowy, stosunki międzynarodowe, zrównoważony rozwójBibliografia
ABAY K., ABDELFATTAH L., BREISINGER C., GLAUBER J., LABORDE D, 2022a, The Russia-Ukraine crisis poses a serious food security threat for Egypt, https://www.ifpri.org/blog/russia-ukraine-crisis-poses-serious-food-security-threat-egypt.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294394_24
Google Scholar
ABAY K., BREISINGER C., GLAUBER J., KURDI S., LABORDE D., SIDDIG K., 2022b, The Russia-Ukraine Crisis: Implications for Global and Regional Food Security and Potential Policy Responses, https://www.ifpri.org/publication/russia-ukraine-crisis-implications-global-and-regional-food-security-and-potential.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135913
Google Scholar
ALJAZEERA, 2022, How did the Russia-Ukraine war trigger a global food crisis? https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/6/18/explainer-how-did-russia-ukraine-war-trigger-a-food-crisis.
Google Scholar
BEN HASSEN T., EL BILALI H., 2022, Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine War on Global Food Security: Towards More Sustainable and Resilient Food Systems? Foods 11: 2301, https://doi.org/10.3390/foods11152301.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/foods11152301
Google Scholar
BOUËT A., LABORDE DEBUCQUET D., 2016, Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting the Adverse Effects of Noncooperative Aspect of Trade Policies, Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy, eds. Kalkuhl, M., von Braun, J. & Torero, M.: 167-179, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_8.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_8
Google Scholar
CLIMATE CHANGE AND FOOD SECURITY, 2005, Philosophical Transactions: Biological Sciences 360(1463): 2139–2148, http://www.jstor.org/stable/30041400.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1745
Google Scholar
DIMITRI C., ROGUS S., 2014, Food Choices, Food Security, and Food Policy, Journal of International Affairs 67(2): 19-31, http://www.jstor.org/stable/24461733.
Google Scholar
FAO, 2021, World Food and Agriculture – Statistical Yearbook 2021, https://doi.org/10.4060/cb4477en.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4060/cb4477en
Google Scholar
FAO, 2022, Crop Prospects and Food Situation – Quarterly Global Report 3, https://doi.org/10.4060/cc2300en.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4060/cc2300en
Google Scholar
FAO, 2022, Crop Prospects and Food Situation – Quarterly Global Report 1, https://doi.org/10.4060/cb8893en.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4060/cb8893en
Google Scholar
FAO, 2022, Food Price Monitoring and Analysis, https://www.fao.org/giews/food-prices/regional-roundups/detail/ru/c/1608593/.
Google Scholar
FAO, 2022, World Food Situation, 2022, https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/.
Google Scholar
FONITSKA T., KOZLOVSKYI S., 2013, Modern theoretical and methodological approaches to the budget management system forming, Economic Annals-XXI 3-4: 35-37.
Google Scholar
GREGORY P. J., INGRAM J. S. I., BRKLACICH M., 2005, Climate Change and Food Security, Philosophical Transac-tions: Biological Sciences 360(1463): 2139-2148, http://www.jstor.org/stable/30041400.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1745
Google Scholar
HINDWAN M., 2018, Food Security: A Drive Towards Sustainability and Zero Hunger, World Affairs: The Journal of International Issues 22(4): 122-135, https://www.jstor.org/stable/48520100.
Google Scholar
ICU, 2022, Official Website, https://icu.ua/uk.
Google Scholar
ILYASH O., LUPAK R., KRAVCHENKO M., TROFYMENKO O., DULIABA N., DZHADAN I., 2022, A forecasting model for assessing the influence of the components of technological growth on economic security, Business: Theory and Practice 23(1): 175-186.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2022.15298
Google Scholar
IPC, 2022, Cadre Harmonisé d’identification des zones à risque et des populations en insécurité alimentaire et nutrition-nelle, Official Website of IPC, https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/docs/ch/Fiche_comunicaion_R%C3%A9gion_SAO_MARS2022_VF.pdf.
Google Scholar
KOSAR N., KUZO N., BINDA J., HAYVANOVYCH N., PYTULYAK N., 2022, Modelling of the factors influencing the dairy market in Ukraine, Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal 8(3): 42-59.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2022.08.03.03
Google Scholar
KOZLOVSKYI, S. V., 2010, Economic policy as a basic element for the mechanism of managing development factors in contemporary economic systems, Actual Problems of Economics 1(103): 13-20.
Google Scholar
KOZLOVSKYI S. V., GERASYMENKO Y. V., KOZLOVSKYI, V. O., 2010, Conceptual grounds for construction of support system for investment decision-making within agroindustrial complex of Ukraine, Actual Problems of Economics 5(107): 263-275.
Google Scholar
KOZLOVSKYI S., BAIDALA V., TKACHUK O., KOZYRSKA T., 2018, Management of the sustainable development of the agrarian sector of the regions of Ukraine, Montenegrin Journal of Economics 14(4): 175-190.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2018.14-4.12
Google Scholar
KOZLOVSKYI S., NIKOLENKO L., PERESADA O., POKHYLIUK O., YATCHUK O., BOLGAROVA N., KULHANIK O., 2020, Estimation level of public welfare on the basis of methods of intellectual analysis, Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management 6(3): 355-372.
Google Scholar
KUSA I., 2022, Russia-Ukraine War: Harbinger of a Global Shift A Perspective from Ukraine, Policy Perspectives 19(1): 7-12, https://www.jstor.org/stable/48676292.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.13169/polipers.19.1.ca2
Google Scholar
LANG T., BARLING D., 2012, Food security and food sustainability: reformulating the debate, The Geographical Journal 178(4): 313-326, http://www.jstor.org/stable/23360870.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4959.2012.00480.x
Google Scholar
MAGDOFF F., TOKAR B., 2010, Agriculture and Food in Crisis: Conflict, Resistance, and Renewal, NYU Press, http://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt9qgh8c.
Google Scholar
Mc MICHAEL, P., 2010, The World Food Crisis in Historical Perspective, Agriculture and Food in Crisis: Conflict, Re-sistance, and Renewal, eds. Magdoff F., Tokar B., NYU Press: 51–68, http://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt9qgh8c.5.
Google Scholar
MINISTRY OF AGRARIAN POLICY AND FOOD OF UKRAINE, 2022, Official Website, https://minagro.gov.ua/en.
Google Scholar
MINISTRY OF DEVELOPMENT OF COMMUNITIES, TERRITORIES AND INFRASTRUCTURE OF UKRAINE, 2022, Official Website, https://mtu.gov.ua/.
Google Scholar
NISS, 2022a, The impact of the war on Ukraine's foreign trade (based on the results of the first half of 2022), 2022, Offi-cial Website of NISS, https://niss.gov.ua/doslidzhennya/mizhnarodni-vidnosyny/vplyv-viyny-na-zovnishnyu-torhivlyu-ukrayiny-za-pidsumkamy.
Google Scholar
NISS, 2022b, Ukraine and global food security in conditions of war, Official Website of NISS, https://niss.gov.ua/news/komentari-ekspertiv/ukrayina-ta-hlobalna-prodovolcha-bezpeka-v-umovakh-viyny.
Google Scholar
OKONJO-IWEALA N., 2022, The World Must Avoid Another Food Crisis, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ukraine-war-how-to-avoid-global-food-crisis-by-ngozi-okonjo-iweala-2022-03.
Google Scholar
PETRUNENKO I., KOZLOVSKYI S., BOLHOV V., AKHNOVSKA I. LAVROV R., BOLGAROVA N., 2022, Civili-zational cycles and economic development in the context of technological transitions and global pandemics, Montenegrin Journal of Economics 18(4): 191-202.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.16
Google Scholar
SHEVCHUK O., ILYASH O., MAZHARA G., ROSHCHYNA N., HRYNKEVYCH S., LAVROV R., KOZLOVSKYI S., 2023, Modelling Regional Sustainable Development in Ukrainian Crisis and War, Problemy Ekorozwoju/ Problems of Sustainable Development 18(1): 37-50, https://doi.org/10.35784/pe.2023.1.04.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.35784/pe.2023.1.04
Google Scholar
STATE AGENCY OF WATER RESOURCES OF UKRAINE, 2022, https://www.davr.gov.ua/news/derzhvodagentstvo-vpliv-vijni-na-vodni-resursi-pronikaye-v-usi-sektori-ekonomiki-i-vzhe-davno-peretnuv-nacionalni-kordoni.
Google Scholar
STATE SERVICE OF UKRAINE FOR GEODESY, Cartography and Cadastre, 2022, https://e.land.gov.ua/.
Google Scholar
STATE STATISTICS COMMITTEE OF UKRAINE, 2022, Official Website, http://ukrstat.gov.ua.
Google Scholar
THE EUROPEAN EXTERNAL ACTION SERVICE, Official Website, https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/ukraine/uk?s=232/.
Google Scholar
TRADING ECONOMICS, Inflation Rate, 2022, https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/inflation-rate.
Google Scholar
TWEETEN, L., 1999, The Economics of Global Food Security, Review of Agricultural Economics 21(2): 473-488, https://doi.org/10.2307/1349892.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1349892
Google Scholar
UNCTAD, 2022, The impact on trade and development of the war in Ukraine, Unctad rapid assessment united nations conference on trade and development, https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/osginf2022d1_en.pdf.
Google Scholar
UNITED NATIONS, 2015, End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture, https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal2.
Google Scholar
WHEELER T., VON BRAUN J., 2013, Climate Change Impacts on Global Food Security, Science 341(6145): 508-513, http://www.jstor.org/stable/23491201.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1239402
Google Scholar
ZILBERMAN D., KAPLAN S., KIM E., SEXTON S., BARROWS G., 2014, Biotechnology and food Security, Journal of International Affairs, 67(2): 91-105, http://www.jstor.org/stable/24461737.
Google Scholar
Autorzy
Olena ShevchukNational Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4117-1474
Autorzy
Olha IlyashNational Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7882-3942
Autorzy
Serhii KozlovskyiVasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0707-4996
Autorzy
Nadiia RoshchynaNational Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2035-8846
Autorzy
Svitlana HrynkevychNational University, Lviv Polytechnic, Lviv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3563-3989
Autorzy
Vira ButenkoNational University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8814-9392
Autorzy
Glib Mazharaskydoor13@gmail.com
National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1860-756X
Statystyki
Abstract views: 637PDF downloads: 476
Licencja
Utwór dostępny jest na licencji Creative Commons Uznanie autorstwa – Na tych samych warunkach 4.0 Miedzynarodowe.