Modelowanie zrównoważonego rozwoju regionalnego podczas kryzysu i wojny w Ukrainie

Olena Shevchuk


National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4117-1474

Olha Ilyash


National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7882-3942

Glib Mazhara


National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1860-756X

Nadiia Roshchyna


National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2035-8846

Svitlana Hrynkevych


National University, Lviv Polytechnic, Lviv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3563-3989

Ruslan Lavrov


PHEI European University, Kyiv, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9655-4467

Serhii Kozlovskyi


Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0707-4996

Abstrakt

Artykuł bada wpływ czynników kryzysowych o charakterze siły wyższej, które pojawiły się w ukraińskiej gospodarce w wyniku globalnej recesji, wydarzeń z lat 2014-2021: aneksja Krymu, tymczasowa okupacja części terenów przemysłowych obwodów donieckiego i ługańskiego, wojskowe operacje w Donbasie, walka z pandemią (COVID-19) i wojny w 2022 r. Na podstawie analizy oficjalnych wskaźników Państwowej Służby Statystyki Ukrainy wykazano, że czynniki te tworzą dodatkowy mnożnik efektów akceleracyjnych, które niekorzystnie wpływają na dynamikę produktu regionalnego brutto w warunkach kryzysowych. Stwierdzono, że skutkiem tych efektów jest przekształcenie sygnałów kryzysowych z fazy proaktywnej w aktywną. Konstrukcja wskaźników korelacji mapy cieplnej GRP pozwoliła na stwierdzenie istnienia dysproporcji między rozwojem gospodarczym i społecznym regionów. Zbudowanie modelu regresji liniowej pozwoliło na wyciągnięcie wniosków na temat istniejącej dysproporcji regionów GRP w okresie kryzysu i wojny.


Słowa kluczowe:

czynniki kryzysowe, produkt regionalny brutto, zrównoważony, wojna, ozwój gospodarczy, efekt mnożnikowy, efekt akceleracji, transformacja sygnałów kryzysowych, mapa korelacji ciepła

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Opublikowane
2023-07-09

Cited By / Share

Shevchuk, O., Ilyash, O., Mazhara, G., Roshchyna, N., Hrynkevych, S., Lavrov, R., & Kozlovskyi, S. (2023). Modelowanie zrównoważonego rozwoju regionalnego podczas kryzysu i wojny w Ukrainie. Problemy Ekorozwoju Problems of Sustainable Development, 18(1), 37–50. https://doi.org/10.35784/pe.2023.1.04

Autorzy

Olena Shevchuk 

National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4117-1474

Autorzy

Olha Ilyash 

National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7882-3942

Autorzy

Glib Mazhara 

National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1860-756X

Autorzy

Nadiia Roshchyna 

National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2035-8846

Autorzy

Svitlana Hrynkevych 

National University, Lviv Polytechnic, Lviv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3563-3989

Autorzy

Ruslan Lavrov 

PHEI European University, Kyiv, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9655-4467

Autorzy

Serhii Kozlovskyi 

Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0707-4996

Statystyki

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