Ryzyko geopolityczne, globalizacja i degradacja środowiska w Afryce Południowej: dowody z zaawansowanego podejścia kwantylowego

Gold Olamide Lawal


School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States (Stany Zjednoczone)

Bisola Aladenika


School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States (Stany Zjednoczone)

Akadiri Akadiri

ssakadiri@cbn.gov.ng
Research Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria (Nigeria)
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8901-7965

Ayodeji Samson Fatigun


School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States (Stany Zjednoczone)

Victoria Olushola Olanrewaju


Cyprus International University, Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science (Cypr)

Abstrakt

Zrównoważony rozwój polega na włączeniu kwestii społeczno-ekonomicznych i ochrony środowiska do procesu podejmowania decyzji gospodarczych w taki sposób, aby wszelkie działania rozwojowe były ostatecznie korzystne dla najbliższych i przyszłych pokoleń. Na tym tle niniejsze badanie analizuje wpływ ryzyka geopolitycznego i globalizacji na degradację środowiska w Afryce Południowej w okresie 1985Q1-2018Q4. Badanie to budzi obawy dotyczące potencjalnego podwójnego wpływu ryzyka geopolitycznego i globalizacji na środowisko. Odchodzimy od istniejących badań, które wykorzystują podejście do średniej przyczynowości, które nie uwzględnia możliwej zależności w warunkowym ogonie rozkładu serii. Aby zbadać, czy istnieje związek przyczynowy między szeregami, korzystamy z Trostera (2018) Grangera bezprzyczynowości w kwantylach warunkowych, która oddaje wzorzec przyczynowości w różnych kwantylach. Wyniki empiryczne pokazują, że istnieje związek przyczynowo-skutkowy sprzężenia zwrotnego między ryzykiem geopolitycznym a emisjami CO2 . W większości kwantyli obserwuje się również przyczynowość sprzężenia zwrotnego między globalizacją a emisjami CO2 . Znajdujemy dwukierunkowy związek przyczynowy Grangera między ryzykiem geopolitycznym a degradacją środowiska oraz między globalizacją a degradacją środowiska. Globalizacja i ryzyko geopolityczne negatywnie wpływają na degradację środowiska. Doszliśmy do wniosku, że degradacja środowiska nie jest spowodowana między innymi globalizacją i ryzykiem geopolitycznym w RPA, ale także innymi sugestiami politycznymi.


Słowa kluczowe:

ryzyko geopolityczne, globalizacja, degradacja środowiska, zaawansowane podejście kwantylowe, Afryka Południowa

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Opublikowane
2023-07-10

Cited By / Share

Lawal, G. O. ., Aladenika, B., Akadiri, A., Fatigun, A. S. ., & Olanrewaju, V. O. (2023). Ryzyko geopolityczne, globalizacja i degradacja środowiska w Afryce Południowej: dowody z zaawansowanego podejścia kwantylowego. Problemy Ekorozwoju Problems of Sustainable Development, 18(1), 207–215. https://doi.org/10.35784/pe.2023.1.22

Autorzy

Gold Olamide Lawal 

School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States Stany Zjednoczone

Autorzy

Bisola Aladenika 

School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States Stany Zjednoczone

Autorzy

Akadiri Akadiri 
ssakadiri@cbn.gov.ng
Research Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria Nigeria
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8901-7965

Autorzy

Ayodeji Samson Fatigun 

School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States Stany Zjednoczone

Autorzy

Victoria Olushola Olanrewaju 

Cyprus International University, Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science Cypr

Statystyki

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