Ryzyko geopolityczne, globalizacja i degradacja środowiska w Afryce Południowej: dowody z zaawansowanego podejścia kwantylowego
Gold Olamide Lawal
School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States (Stany Zjednoczone)
Bisola Aladenika
School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States (Stany Zjednoczone)
Akadiri Akadiri
ssakadiri@cbn.gov.ngResearch Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria (Nigeria)
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8901-7965
Ayodeji Samson Fatigun
School of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States (Stany Zjednoczone)
Victoria Olushola Olanrewaju
Cyprus International University, Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science (Cypr)
Abstrakt
Zrównoważony rozwój polega na włączeniu kwestii społeczno-ekonomicznych i ochrony środowiska do procesu podejmowania decyzji gospodarczych w taki sposób, aby wszelkie działania rozwojowe były ostatecznie korzystne dla najbliższych i przyszłych pokoleń. Na tym tle niniejsze badanie analizuje wpływ ryzyka geopolitycznego i globalizacji na degradację środowiska w Afryce Południowej w okresie 1985Q1-2018Q4. Badanie to budzi obawy dotyczące potencjalnego podwójnego wpływu ryzyka geopolitycznego i globalizacji na środowisko. Odchodzimy od istniejących badań, które wykorzystują podejście do średniej przyczynowości, które nie uwzględnia możliwej zależności w warunkowym ogonie rozkładu serii. Aby zbadać, czy istnieje związek przyczynowy między szeregami, korzystamy z Trostera (2018) Grangera bezprzyczynowości w kwantylach warunkowych, która oddaje wzorzec przyczynowości w różnych kwantylach. Wyniki empiryczne pokazują, że istnieje związek przyczynowo-skutkowy sprzężenia zwrotnego między ryzykiem geopolitycznym a emisjami CO2 . W większości kwantyli obserwuje się również przyczynowość sprzężenia zwrotnego między globalizacją a emisjami CO2 . Znajdujemy dwukierunkowy związek przyczynowy Grangera między ryzykiem geopolitycznym a degradacją środowiska oraz między globalizacją a degradacją środowiska. Globalizacja i ryzyko geopolityczne negatywnie wpływają na degradację środowiska. Doszliśmy do wniosku, że degradacja środowiska nie jest spowodowana między innymi globalizacją i ryzykiem geopolitycznym w RPA, ale także innymi sugestiami politycznymi.
Słowa kluczowe:
ryzyko geopolityczne, globalizacja, degradacja środowiska, zaawansowane podejście kwantylowe, Afryka PołudniowaBibliografia
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Autorzy
Gold Olamide LawalSchool of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States Stany Zjednoczone
Autorzy
Bisola AladenikaSchool of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States Stany Zjednoczone
Autorzy
Akadiri Akadirissakadiri@cbn.gov.ng
Research Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria Nigeria
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8901-7965
Autorzy
Ayodeji Samson FatigunSchool of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, California, United States Stany Zjednoczone
Autorzy
Victoria Olushola OlanrewajuCyprus International University, Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science Cypr
Statystyki
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