Ocena poziomu bezpieczeństwa energetycznego Chin: dowody z metody wagowej entropii TOPSIS
Li Pan
504564464@qq.comNational Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (Ukraina)
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8520-0842
Abstrakt
Wraz ze wzrostem gospodarczym kwestie związane z bezpieczeństwem dostaw energii w Chinach stają się coraz poważniejsze. Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne pozostaje kluczowym problemem w rozwoju Chin. Zwłaszcza w obliczu międzynarodowych zawirowań w ostatnich latach, dla Chin, gospodarki o dużym uzależnieniu od zagranicznej energii, ryzyko stabilności bezpieczeństwa energetycznego jest nieuchronnie przenoszone na inne dziedziny gospodarki, powodując szereg problemów. Niniejsze badanie ilościowo ocenia bezpieczeństwo energetyczne Chin w okresie od 2013 do 2022 roku. Na podstawie 35 konkretnych wskaźników chińskiego przemysłu energetycznego przyjęto system indeksów bezpieczeństwa energetycznego, obejmujący cztery wymiary – produkcję energii, zużycie, wpływ na środowisko i dostawy energii – oraz metodę entropii TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution). Wyniki pokazują, że ogólny stan bezpieczeństwa energetycznego w Chinach jest na poziomie średnio-wyższym, ze znacznymi różnicami w różnych wymiarach. Koordynacja produkcji energii, zużycia, wpływu na środowisko i dostaw energii stanowi wielkie wyzwanie z powodu wielu czynników. Jeśli chodzi o produkcję i zużycie energii, bezpieczeństwo energetyczne Chin wykazuje stosunkowo wyższy poziom zrównoważonego rozwoju, podczas gdy wymiary środowiska i dostaw energii napotykają znacznie więcej trudności, co ujawnia pilną potrzebę zrównoważonego rozwoju w chińskim sektorze energetycznym: pod podwójnym naciskiem utrzymania wzrostu gospodarczego i ochrony środowiska, zwiększenie wsparcia politycznego dla przemysłu energii odnawialnej i zwiększenie jego udziału w strukturze produkcji i zużycia energii jest wykonalnym rozwiązaniem. Zaleca się promowanie reform w zakresie technologii energetycznych, międzynarodowej współpracy energetycznej i innowacji w celu zapewnienia gwarancji dla bezpieczeństwa energetycznego Chin.
Słowa kluczowe:
bezpieczeństwo energetyczne, zaopatrzenie w energię, efektywność energetyczna, gospodarka Chin, ocena wielowymiarowa, waga entropii TOPSISBibliografia
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Autorzy
Li Pan504564464@qq.com
National Technical University of Ukraine, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute Ukraina
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8520-0842
Statystyki
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