Relationship Between Organic Farmland Expansion and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Europe in Implementing the Sustainable Development Goals
Serhii Kozlovskyi
s.kozlovskyy@donnu.edu.uaVasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University (Ukraine)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0707-4996
Ivan Zayukov
State University of Trade and Economics, Vinnytsia Institute of Trade and Economics (Ukraine)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7225-2827
Volodymyr Kozlovskyi
Vinnytsia National Technical University (Ukraine)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0955-4347
Oleksandr Tregubov
Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University (Ukraine)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0397-5570
Sviatoslav Storchak
Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University (Ukraine)
https://orcid.org/0009-0009-2119-3351
Viktor Mishchenko
Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University (Ukraine)
https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7802-3700
Ruslan Lavrov
T.H. Shevchenko National University, Chernihiv Colehium (Ukraine)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9655-4467
Abstract
The global community is endeavouring to achieve the ambitious Sustainable Development Goals. An important area of implementation of all the seventeen goals is the introduction of organic production in agriculture. This will contribute to providing the population with food; improving public health; overcoming the problems related to hunger, poverty, poor health, limited clean drinking water, energy shortages, depletion of natural resources, climate change, and pollution of both aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. The EU-27 countries need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2050, which exacerbates the issue. For this reason, the paper hypothesizes that organic farmland expansion will potentially result in an increase in greenhouse gas emissions. Accordingly, the purpose of the paper is to conduct empirical research into the impact of organic farmland expansion on the increase in greenhouse gas emissions in the EU. The correlation and regression analysis based on the use of available Eurostat statistics for the period 2014-2021 for selected individual European countries demonstrated that the majority of European countries exhibit a high degree of correlation. According to data from all EU Member States (27), the relationship is strong and directly proportional. It was found that with an increase in the area of organic farmland by 1% in the EU27, greenhouse gas emissions will increase by 0.00000025 thousand tons. The calculations revealed that ceteris paribus, greenhouse gas emissions are influenced by the expansion of organic farmland by 62.4%. Among the European countries under study, similar trends are observed in Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Spain, the Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Finland, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Meanwhile, in Lithuania and the Netherlands, the relationship is inversely proportional. Weak correlation, as evidenced by the calculated correlation coefficient, is observed in such European countries as Bulgaria (0.05); Poland (0.02); Slovakia (0.05). To implement the Sustainable Development Goals, it is recommended to take measures to change the culture of food consumption; to use agricultural technologies, methods, equipment, machinery and mechanisms more efficiently; and to rationally use the waste.
Keywords:
sustainable development, organic production, greenhouse gases, model, correlation and regression analysis, economic security, food security, agricultural sector, creative ecology, international economics, EuropeReferences
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Authors
Serhii Kozlovskyis.kozlovskyy@donnu.edu.ua
Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0707-4996
Authors
Ivan ZayukovState University of Trade and Economics, Vinnytsia Institute of Trade and Economics Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7225-2827
Authors
Volodymyr KozlovskyiVinnytsia National Technical University Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0955-4347
Authors
Oleksandr TregubovVasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0397-5570
Authors
Sviatoslav StorchakVasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0009-0009-2119-3351
Authors
Viktor MishchenkoVasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7802-3700
Authors
Ruslan LavrovT.H. Shevchenko National University, Chernihiv Colehium Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9655-4467
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