Forecasting development of road technology based on the Delphi method – selected issues

Piotr Radziszewski


Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology (Poland)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2835-0240

Joanicjusz Nazarko


Business Informatics and Logistics Department; Faculty of Management; Bialystok Technical University (Poland)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0236-2334

Jan Król


Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology (Poland)
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8728-3530

Karol J. Kowalski


Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology (Poland)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9996-3637

Michał Sarnowski


Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology (Poland)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2908-7774

Abstract

An objective of this research project is an analysis of development directions of new materials, technologies and pavement structures used in road industry, taking into account special environmental conditions and sustainable development rules. Results of the first round of conducted study based on the foresight method are described in this paper. Such results are helpful to provide support for making a long term strategy decisions by the government. Selected results and analysis in the scope of identification of the main research areas and hypothesis connected with developments of road technology are shown in this paper with a special focus on the construction of the durable pavements. It was found that the most important task is related to developments of the asphalt and cement pavements technology providing at least 30 years durability period. The construction of such pavements is possible only when high quality of work is provided and there is further road technology development as a result of the science and industry cooperation.

 


Keywords:

road pavement, Delphi method, foresight, pavement technology

Bojarski W., Koncepcja badań nad zharmonizowanym rozwojem społeczno-gospodarczym z poszanowaniem dóbr przyrody, Biuletyn Komitetu Ochrony Środowiska PAN, Wrocław-Warszawa 1988.
  Google Scholar

Borys T. (red.), Wskaźniki ekorozwoju, Wydawnictwo Ekonomia i Środowisko, Białystok, 1999
  Google Scholar

Cieślak M., Prognozowanie gospodarcze. Metody i zastosowania, Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa 2005.
  Google Scholar

Dokumenty końcowe Konferencji Narodów Zjednoczonych „Środowisko i rozwój”, Rio de Janeiro, 2-14.06.1992 r., Szczyt Ziemi, IOŚ, Warszawa 1993.
  Google Scholar

Hopper A., Funkcje obszarów wiejskich z perspektywy ekorozwoju, Zeszyty problemowe Postępów Nauk Rolniczych nr 401, Warszawa 1992.
  Google Scholar

Kowalewska A., Głuszyński J., Zastosowanie metody Delphi w Narodowym Programie Foresight „Polska 2020”, publikacja Pentor Research International, Warszawa 2009.
  Google Scholar

Kozłowski S., Droga do ekorozwoju, Warszawa 1994.
  Google Scholar

Ochrona środowiska człowieka – humanistyczne widzenie świata, Prace Naukowe Polskiego Klubu Ekologicznego, vol. 1, Kraków 1984.
  Google Scholar

Popper R., How are foresight methods selected?, Foresight, 10/6, (2008) 62-89.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680810918586   Google Scholar

Piłat J., Radziszewski P., Nawierzchnie asfaltowe, Wydawnictwo Komunikacji i Łączności, Warszawa 2010.
  Google Scholar

Polymer modified bitumen. Properties and characterization, Woodhead Publishing Limited 2011.
  Google Scholar

Report of the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment, 48/14/Rev. 1, (1973) .
  Google Scholar

Rada Ministrów RP, Strategia Rozwoju Kraju na lata 2007-2015, Warszawa 2006.
  Google Scholar

Szydło A., Nawierzchnie drogowe z betonu cementowego, Polski cement Sp. z o. o., Kraków 2004.
  Google Scholar

Zrównoważona Europa dla Lepszego Świata: Strategia Zrównoważonego Rozwoju Unii Europejskiej COM, 2001.
  Google Scholar


Published
2014-12-09

Cited by

Radziszewski, P. (2014) “Forecasting development of road technology based on the Delphi method – selected issues”, Budownictwo i Architektura, 13(4), pp. 215–224. doi: 10.35784/bud-arch.1819.

Authors

Piotr Radziszewski 

Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology Poland
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2835-0240

Authors

Joanicjusz Nazarko 

Business Informatics and Logistics Department; Faculty of Management; Bialystok Technical University Poland
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0236-2334

Authors

Jan Król 

Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology Poland
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8728-3530

Authors

Karol J. Kowalski 

Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology Poland
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9996-3637

Authors

Michał Sarnowski 

Faculty of Civil Engineering; Warsaw University of Technology Poland
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2908-7774

Statistics

Abstract views: 202
PDF downloads: 124


License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Budownictwo i Architektura supports the open science program. The journal enables Open Access to their publications. Everyone can view, download and forward articles, provided that the terms of the license are respected.

Publishing of articles is possible after submitting a signed statement on the transfer of a license to the Journal.