Time-Cost Relationship for Predicting Construction Duration

Agata Czarnigowska


Department of Construction Methods and Management; Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture; Lublin University of Technology (Poland)
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3715-3521

Anna Sobotka


Department of Geomechanics, Civil Engineering and Geotechnics; Faculty of Mining and Geoengineering; AGH University of Science and Technology in Cracow (Poland)
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4477-8821

Abstract

The paper aims at creating a model of road construction duration in the function of project qualities including the construction cost. The qualities considered are likely to be defined or possible to be estimated at early stages of project planning, giving no consideration to construction method or organisation of works. Potentially, the model might be applied by construction clients in their feasibility studies. It could also be used for comparing construction duration or construction rate with respect to project qualities.


Keywords:

Bromilow’s model, multiple regression, CART

Lai Y-T., Wang W-C., Wang H-H. AHP- and simulation-based budget determination procedure for public building construction projects. Automation in Construction 17 (2008) 623-632.
  Google Scholar

Lee J-R, Hsueh S-L, Tseng H-P. Utilizing data mining to discover knowledge in construction enterprise performance records. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 14 (2008) 79-84.
  Google Scholar

Kaplinski O. Modelling of Construction Processes: A Managerial Approach. KILiW PAN, IPPT, Studia z Zakresu Inżynierii Nr. 43, Warszawa, 1997.
  Google Scholar

Chou, J.-S., Tseng, H.-S., 2011. Establishing expert system for prediction based on the project-oriented data warehouse. Expert Systems with Applications, 38 (2011) 640-651.
  Google Scholar

Jin RZ, Cho KM, Hyu CT, Son MJ: MRA-based revised CBR model for cost prediction in the early stage of construction projects. Expert Systems with Applications, 39 (2012), 5214-5222
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2011.11.018   Google Scholar

Project management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide). Fourth Edition. Wydanie polskie. Management Training & Development Center, Warszawa, 2009.
  Google Scholar

Kaka A., Price A.D.F. Relationship between value and duration of construction projects. Construction Management and Economics 9 (1991) 383-400.
  Google Scholar

Chan A.P.C. Time-cost relationship of public sector projects in Malaysia. International Journal of Project Management, 19, 223-229.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0263-7863(99)00072-1   Google Scholar

Yousef G., Baccarini D. Developing a cost-time model for estimating construction durations of sewerage projects in Perth. Journal of Construction Research 2 (2001) 213-220.
  Google Scholar

Ogunsemi D.R., Jagboro G.O.Time-cost model for building projects in Nigeria. Construction Management and Economics 24 (2006) 253-258.
  Google Scholar

Skitmore R.M., Ng S.T. Note. Australian project time-cost analysis: statistical analysis of intertemporal trends. Construction Management and Economics 19 (2001) 455-458.
  Google Scholar

Irfan, M., Khursid, M.B., Anastasopoulos, P., Labi, S., Moavenzadeh, F. Planning-stage estimation of highway project duration on the basis of anticipated project cost, project type, and contract type. International Journal of Project Management 29 (1) (2011)78-92.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2010.01.001   Google Scholar

Skitmore R.M., Ng S.T. Forecast models of actual construction duration and cost. Building and Environment 38(8) (2003) 1075-1083.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0360-1323(03)00067-2   Google Scholar

Love P. E. D., Tse R. Y. C., Edwards D.J. Time–Cost Relationships in Australian Building Construction Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, ASCE, 131(2) 2005 187-194.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2005)131:2(187)   Google Scholar

Stoy Ch., Polalis S. Early estimation of building construction speed in Germany. International Journal of Project Management 25 (2007) 283-289.
  Google Scholar

Martin J., Burrows T.K., Pegg I. Predicting Construction Duration of Building Projects. Shaping the Change XXIII FIG Congress, Munich, Germany, October 2006, 8-13.
  Google Scholar

BCIS Construction Duration Calculator http://www.rics.org, dostęp w styczniu 2013
  Google Scholar

Walker D.H.T. An investigation into construction time performance. Construction Management and Economics 13 (1995) 263-274.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01446199500000030   Google Scholar

Gatnar E. Nieparametryczna metoda dyskryminacji i regresji. PWN, Warszawa, 2001.
  Google Scholar

Stanisz A. Przystępny kurs statystyki z zastosowaniem STATISTICA PL na przykładach z medycyny. Tom 2. Modele liniowe i nieliniowe. Statsoft Polska, Krakow, 2007.
  Google Scholar


Published
2013-03-11

Cited by

Czarnigowska, A. and Sobotka, A. (2013) “Time-Cost Relationship for Predicting Construction Duration”, Budownictwo i Architektura, 12(1), pp. 023–030. doi: 10.35784/bud-arch.2160.

Authors

Agata Czarnigowska 

Department of Construction Methods and Management; Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture; Lublin University of Technology Poland
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3715-3521

Authors

Anna Sobotka 

Department of Geomechanics, Civil Engineering and Geotechnics; Faculty of Mining and Geoengineering; AGH University of Science and Technology in Cracow Poland
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4477-8821

Statistics

Abstract views: 208
PDF downloads: 177


License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Budownictwo i Architektura supports the open science program. The journal enables Open Access to their publications. Everyone can view, download and forward articles, provided that the terms of the license are respected.

Publishing of articles is possible after submitting a signed statement on the transfer of a license to the Journal.