Is the Economic Mechanism of Quantity-Quality Tradeoff Sustainable?

Współczesna debata gospodarcza na temat starzenia się ludności wskazuje na niską płodność i zagrożenia ekonomiczne dla emerytów pomimo tego, że w latach 1950-2015 liczba ludności na świecie zwiększyła się ponad dwa i pół razy. Problemy społeczno-gospodarcze są w konflikcie z debatą ekologiczną i próbami stabilizacji wzrostu populacji na zrównoważoną skalę. W niniejszym artykule zbadano mechanizm kompromisu pomiędzy jakością i ilością dzieci przedstawiony w koncepcji G. Beckera z globalnej perspektywy ewolucyjnej postulowanej w koncepcji zrównoważonego rozwoju. Równowaga pomiędzy jakością a ilością prowadzi do niższej płodności typowej dla wielu krajów rozwiniętych. Tym niemniej, nie skutkuje to niższym deficytem ekologicznym w tych krajach, zgodnie z uwarunkowaniami postulowanymi w IPAT. W rezultacie nie istnieje skuteczny mechanizm ekonomiczny równoważący zamożność i zmiany wielkości populacji. Niniejsze badania wskazują na to, że obecne problemy demograficzne są zakorzenione w instytucjach społeczno-ekonomicznych i z perspektywy globalnej nie istnieje problem niższej płodności czy starzenia się populacji.

Słowa kluczowe:

IPAT, teoria ilości-jakości, zmiana demograficzna, stopa reprodukcji netto, ślad ekologiczny

Bibliografia

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Numer Tom 14 Nr 1 (2019)

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