AN OVERVIEW OF DEEP LEARNING TECHNIQUES FOR SHORT-TERM ELECTRICITY LOAD FORECASTING

Saheed ADEWUYI

saheed.adewuyi@uniosun.edu.ng
Osun State University, Department of Information and Communication Technology, Osogbo, Osun State (Nigeria)

Segun AINA


* Obafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State (Nigeria)

Aderonke LAWAL


Obafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State (Nigeria)

Adeniran OLUWARANTI


Obafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State (Nigeria)

Moses UZUNUIGBE


Transmission Company of Nigeria, 132/33 kV, Ajebandele, Ile Ife, Osun State (Nigeria)

Abstract

This paper presents an overview of some Deep Learning (DL) techniques applicable to forecasting electricity consumptions, especially in the short-term horizon. The paper introduced key parts of four DL architectures including the RNN, LSTM, CNN and SAE, which are recently adopted in implementing Short-term (electricity) Load Forecasting problems. It further presented a model approach for solving such problems. The eventual implication of the study is to present an insightful direction about concepts of the DL methods for forecasting electricity loads in the short-term period, especially to a potential researcher in quest of solving similar problems.


Keywords:

Short-term Load Forecasting, Deep Learning Architectures, RNN, LSTM, CNN, SAE

Bengio, Y. (2009). Learning deep architectures for AI. Foundation and Trends in Machine Learning, 2(1), 1–127.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000006   Google Scholar

Brownlee, J. (Ed.) (2018). Deep learning for time series forecasting: Predicting the future with MLPs, CNNs and LSTMs in Python. Machine learning mastery.
  Google Scholar

Chengdong, L., Zixiang, D., Dongbin, Z., Jianqiang, Y., & Guiqing, Z. (2017). Building energy consumption prediction: An extreme deep learning approach. Energies, 10(10), 1525–1545.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en10101525   Google Scholar

Deng, L. (2013). A tutorial survey of architectures, algorithms, and applications for deep learning. APSIPA Transactions on Signal and Information Processing, 3(2). https://doi.org/10.1017/ATSIP
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/atsip.2013.9   Google Scholar

Deng, L., & Yu, D. (2013). Deep learning: methods and applications. Foundations and Trends in Signal Processing, 7(3-4), 197–387.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1561/2000000039   Google Scholar

Feinberg, E. A., & Genethliou, D. (2005). Load forecasting. In J. H. Chow, F.F. Wu, & J. Momoh (Eds.), Applied Mathematics for Restructured Electric Power Systems. Power Electronics and Power Systems. Springer, Boston, MA.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-23471-3_12   Google Scholar

Gamboa, J. (2017). Deep learning for time-series analysis. arXiv: 1701.01887.
  Google Scholar

Ghullam, M. U., & Angelos, K. M. (2017). Short term power load forecasting using deep neural networks. ICNC, 10(1109), 594–598, 7876196.
  Google Scholar

Hamedmoghadam, H., Joorabloo, N., & Jalili, M. (2018). Australia's long-term electricity demand forecasting using deep neural networks. arXiv: preprint arXiv:1801.02148.
  Google Scholar

Hussein, A. (2018). Deep Learning Based Approaches for Imitation Learning (doctoral dissertation). Robert Gordon University Aberdeen, Scotland.
  Google Scholar

Hussein, S., & Hussein, P. (2017). Load forecasting using deep neural networks. In 2017 IEEE
  Google Scholar

Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ISGT.2017.8085971
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/ISGT.2017.8085971   Google Scholar

Kuo, P., & Huang, C. (2018). A high-precision artificial neural networks model for short-term energy load management. Energy, 11(1), 213–226.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en11010213   Google Scholar

Luis, H., Carlos, B., Javier, M. A., Lorena, C., Belen, C., Antonio, S., Diane, J. C., David, C., & Jorge, G. (2012). A study of relationship between weather variables and electric power demand inside a smart grid/ smart world. MDPI Sensors, 22(9), 11571–11591.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/s120911571   Google Scholar

Luis, H., Carlos, B., Javier, M. A., Lorena, C., Belen, C., Antonio, S., Diane, J. C., David, C., & Jorge, G. (2013). Short-term load forecasting for micro-grids based on artificial neural networks, MDPI Sensors, 6(3), 1385–1408.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en6031385   Google Scholar

Luis, H., Carlos, B., Javier, M. A., Lorena, C., Belen, C., Antonio, S., & Jaime, L. (2014). Artificial neural network for short-term load forecasting in distribution systems, MDPI, 7(3), 1576–1598.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en7031576   Google Scholar

Merkel, G. D., Povinelli, R. J., & Brown, R. H. (2017). Deep neural network regression for shortterm load forecasting of natural gas. Report: Marquette University.
  Google Scholar

Nor, H. M., Rahaini, M. S., & Siti, H. H. A. (2018). ARIMA with Regression Model in Modelling electricity load demand, Journal of Telecommunication, Electronic and Computer Engineering, 8(12), 113–116.
  Google Scholar

Rahul, K. A., Frankle, M., & Madan, M. T. (2018). Long term load forecasting with hourly predictions based on long-short-term-memory networks. In 2018 IEEE Texas Power and Energy Conference (TPEC). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPEC.2018.8312088
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/TPEC.2018.8312088   Google Scholar

Sarabjit, S., & Rupinderjit, S. (2013). ARIMA Based Short Term Load Forecasting for Punjab Region. IJSR, 4(6), 1919–1822.
  Google Scholar

Schmidhuber, J., & Sepp, H. (1997). Long short-term memory. Neural Computation, 9(8), 1735–1780.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/neco.1997.9.8.1735   Google Scholar

Seunghoung, R., Hongseok, K., & Jaekoo, N. (2017). Deep neural network based demand side short term load forecasting. Energies MDPI, 10(1), 3–23.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en10010003   Google Scholar

Swalin, A. (2019). How to handle missing data. Towards Data Science. Retrieved from https://towardsdatascience.com/how-tohandle-missing-data-8646b18db on 18/01/2019.
  Google Scholar

Wan, H. (2014). Deep neural network based load forecast. Computer Modelling and New Technologies, 18(3), 258–262.
  Google Scholar

Yi, Y., Jie, W., Yanhua, C., & Caihong L. (2013). A new strategy for short-term load forecasting. Hindawi.
  Google Scholar

Download


Published
2019-12-30

Cited by

ADEWUYI, S., AINA, S., LAWAL, A., OLUWARANTI, A., & UZUNUIGBE, M. (2019). AN OVERVIEW OF DEEP LEARNING TECHNIQUES FOR SHORT-TERM ELECTRICITY LOAD FORECASTING. Applied Computer Science, 15(4), 75–92. https://doi.org/10.23743/acs-2019-31

Authors

Saheed ADEWUYI 
saheed.adewuyi@uniosun.edu.ng
Osun State University, Department of Information and Communication Technology, Osogbo, Osun State Nigeria

Authors

Segun AINA 

* Obafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State Nigeria

Authors

Aderonke LAWAL 

Obafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State Nigeria

Authors

Adeniran OLUWARANTI 

Obafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State Nigeria

Authors

Moses UZUNUIGBE 

Transmission Company of Nigeria, 132/33 kV, Ajebandele, Ile Ife, Osun State Nigeria

Statistics

Abstract views: 74
PDF downloads: 10


License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

All articles published in Applied Computer Science are open-access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.


Most read articles by the same author(s)

Similar Articles

<< < 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.